CaucasusInvestment Group

Azerbaijan

A hydrocarbon economy on the Caspian with very large financial buffers and a non-oil sector that has slowed.

Baku Boulevard and the city's waterfront on the Caspian
Baku. Photo by Zulfugar Karimov, Unsplash

Oil output, including condensate, fell from 41.0 million tonnes in 2016 to 27.7 million in 2025. Gas production is rising and exports to Europe run at about 13 bcm a year, while the State Oil Fund now pays more into the budget than it receives from oil and gas.

Strategic reserves of about USD 86bn and public debt of about 20% of GDP support investment-grade ratings from Fitch and Moody's. The Port of Baku is the Caspian hub of the Middle Corridor.

Key indicators

Nominal GDP
USD 75.9bn2025; AZN 129.1bn at AZN 1.70 per USD · State Statistical Committee via Report.az
Non-oil share of GDP
71.5%2025 · Ministry of Finance via Caliber.az
Refinancing rate
6.5%Held September 2026 · Central Bank of Azerbaijan via Interfax
State Oil Fund assets
USD 72.6bn30 June 2026 · SOFAZ
Sovereign rating, Fitch
BBB-, stableJune 2026 · Fitch via Caliber.az
Sovereign rating, Moody's
Baa3, positiveUpgraded July 2025 · Moody's via APA
Currency
Azerbaijani manat (AZN), held at 1.70 per US dollarIMF Article IV 2026

CIG research on Azerbaijan

Research library

Azerbaijan in data

CIG Data